Just a warning, this is kind of long…and that’s because the secrets to winning on Quibids cannot be simplified to just a few sentences. As always, what you’ll read below was written specifically for “Bid-Ninja’s” by a Quibids professional (over $60k spent on Quibids with net winnings in the tens of thousands of dollars).
Let’s get to it:
Using the Bid-Ninja App we have an advantage to see when someone is going to bid to the purchase price of an item; however, how many times have you been caught jumping in only to find someone bids way past the purchase price with vouchers.
This email is about bidding strategy when uncertain of someones use of bid vouchers and how to accurately determine or estimate their voucher use.
Start with historical data. Bid-Ninja has many useful ways to accurately determine how someone plays and their strategies. Let’s start with voucher count. Bid-Ninja breaks down auctions won and lost for bid vouchers. After you check a users stats and see they regularly play on bid vouchers you need to determine if they are using them now.
After analyzing an auction and determining it’s time to jump in, use the single bid strategy while analyzing the “key players” in the auction.
Step one: check and see if this person plays on bid vouchers.
If this player does not play on bid vouchers you can assume the only bid vouchers they may have come from “Game plays” or they are gifted from Quibids by badges or in exchange for an out of stock item and this person is not likely going to have a great deal of bid vouchers if any. To be certain briefly check their recent won auction history to see if they have won any gameplay auctions within their last 10 or 15 auctions won.
If you determine this player does play on bid vouchers the first step is to analyze their last 6-10 won auctions to see how they play when using bidvouchers. Do they strictly use bidvouchers? Do they split it half and half what is their strategy.
The next step is to try and determine how many bid vouchers a player may have. Analyze their won and lost history for their last 10 to 12 auctions. Evaluate how many bid voucher auctions they have won recently and tally the bids with the recent bid voucher auctions lost where the player went close to the end and more than likely purchased the bid vouchers. Take the tally of these two numbers and subtract the bids used in both won and lost auctions after those bid vouchers were played.
For instance, if yesterday I won a 100 bid voucher and lost a 100 bid voucher you can assume I have 200 bid vouchers. Now if you view my won and lost auctions after I played those bid voucher auctions and I have spent 150 bids between won and lost auctions you can estimate that I may have 50 bid vouchers left for the auction I am presently playing. Be sure to also review active auctions because some players my be hundreds of bids in on active auctions as well.
When waiting for someone to bid out of an auction and you are unsure of the amount of bids they have I suggest using the single bid strategy coupled with turning your bid-o-matic on and off. When it appears this user may be finishing or your calculations indicate they may be finishing start your bid-o-matic 10-15 bids before depending on how many users are in the auction. If the auction is crowded stick with a single bid strategy until it thins out a bit; however. keep in mind that others may try to jump in. When they do let them know you are there by placing 1 or 2 bid-o-matic bids.
I know this is a fairly long email; however, I am constantly receiving emails with suggestions for a bid-voucher strategy and we wanted to put a solid one together for our users.